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What are the specific risks for the financial markets? What political risks will have an impact?
To what levels will interest rates rise? And how fast? Is it necessary to hedge your interest rate risk?

Risk & Strategy publications

Europe crushed by American eagle and Chinese dragon?

Andy Langenkamp
Thursday, 6 July 2023
Andy Langenkamp

Which paths will European countries take in the most likely scenarios for the geopolitical showdown between Beijing and Washington?

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Globalisation gobbled up by geopolitics

Andy Langenkamp
Thursday, 22 June 2023
Andy Langenkamp

We identify four scenarios for future relations between China and the U.S. and like-minded states. We discuss the chances of those scenarios becoming reality and the implications for currencies, interest rates, bonds, stocks, oil and precious metals.

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More Risk & Strategy publications

FX & Interest Rates publications

Japan will (temporarily) stop the yen’s decline

Eddy Markus
Monday, 3 July 2023
Eddy Markus

We expect tighter monetary policy by the Bank of Japan. Furthermore, USD/JPY has reached levels at which Japan usually intervened to prevent further yen decline. These two factors improve the outlook for the yen...

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EUR/USD & GBP hedging perspectiv

Eddy Markus
Tuesday, 27 June 2023
Eddy Markus

With the UK labor market remaining very tight and wage increases rising significantly, investors expect UK interest rates to rise faster than those in the EMU and the US. Against this backdrop, the pound may continue to slowly appreciate against the euro.
 

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More FX & Interest Rates publications